7-Day Weather Edge Report
Every Sunday, the NOX Weather Alpha Engine analyzes a full week of Polymarket weather markets — and sends you the results. Where was the edge? Which stations were mispriced? Free, no commitment.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Delivered every Sunday at 08:00 UTC.
WHAT YOU GET
Real Edge Data, Every Week
Edge Heatmap
See which stations and brackets had the largest mispricings — ranked by edge magnitude.
10 Station Coverage
NYC, Chicago, Miami, Seattle, London, Paris, Ankara, Tel Aviv, Seoul, Buenos Aires.
Signal Breakdown
BUY YES vs. BUY NO distribution, average edge per direction, and bracket concentration.
Model vs. Market
Where the NOX Weather Alpha Engine disagreed most with Polymarket — and who was right.
Calibration Score
Weekly Brier score showing how well-calibrated the prediction model was across all brackets.
Timing Analysis
When edges appeared and disappeared — optimal windows for trade execution during the week.
PREVIEW
Sample Edge Summary
Top edges detected by the NOX Weather Alpha Engine — week of Mar 24–30, 2026
| Station | Bracket | Direction | Model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tel Aviv | 18-19°C | BUY YES | 0.42 | 0.31 | +11.0% |
| Chicago | 54-55°F | BUY NO | 0.08 | 0.19 | +11.0% |
| NYC | 62-63°F | BUY YES | 0.38 | 0.28 | +10.0% |
| Seoul | 12-13°C | BUY YES | 0.35 | 0.26 | +9.0% |
| Miami | ≥78°F | BUY NO | 0.05 | 0.14 | +9.0% |
| London | 10-11°C | BUY YES | 0.31 | 0.23 | +8.0% |
Sample data for illustration. Actual report includes all edges above 5% threshold with Kelly sizing.
HOW IT WORKS
From Inbox to Insight in 60 Seconds
Subscribe
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Receive
Every Sunday at 08:00 UTC, the report lands in your inbox with the past week's edge data.
Analyze
See which stations were mispriced, which directions had the most edge, and how calibration performed.
Decide
Use the insights to inform your own Polymarket weather trading — or upgrade to real-time signals.
See the Edge for Yourself
The NOX Weather Alpha Engine scans Polymarket weather markets 24/7. Once a week, we show you what it found — completely free.